Giuliani Blog Tracking the likely Presidential candidacy of Rudy Giuliani

Monday, May 29, 2006

New Batch of Strategic Vision Polls: FL +9, MI -14, WA +6


7. Who is your first choice for the Republican nomination in 2008? (Republicans only)
Rudy Giuliani 40%
John McCain 31%
George Allen 7%
Newt Gingrich 4%
Mitt Romney 4%
Bill Frist 2%
George Pataki 1%
Rick Santorum 1%
Chuck Hagel 1%
Undecided 9%


18. For the 2008 Republican Presidential Nomination whom would you support? (Republicans Only)
John McCain 38%
Rudy Giuliani 24%
Mitt Romney 15%
Newt Gingrich 4%
George Allen 3%
Bill Frist 2%
George Pataki 1%
Rick Santorum 1%
Chuck Hagel 1%
Undecided 11%

Big Romney factor at work here folks. What do you want to bet he takes mostly from Rudy?

And Washington state:

18. For the 2008 Republican Presidential Nomination whom would you support? (Republicans Only)
Rudy Giuliani 36%
John McCain 30%
Newt Gingrich 5%
Mitt Romney 5%
Bill Frist 4%
Rick Santorum 1%
George Allen 1%
George Pataki 1%
Chuck Hagel 1%
Undecided 16%

Where the Condi question is asked, she takes mostly from McCain.

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At 8:52 PM, Blogger Jeff Fuller said...

Watch out for Romney!

Despite his horrible "name-recognition" factor (what these cold-call polls really represent) Romney is doing better and better in each round of these kind of polls. Most people I talk to have never heard of him, and even most Mormons I speak with don't even know that he's going to be running for president! Once he is out on the campaign trail and officially committed to running and on every news outlet ad nauseum he will pull even with, and then run away from everyone else in the field.

Romney is incredibly smart, very charismatic (and telegenic), squeaky clean, very rich (and a good fundraiser), a pragmatist, and a conservative who had been able to get things done amongst liberals. Sounds like what our country will need in 2008!

Giuliani or Romney offer the best chance of winning the general election against the Dems (McCain will fold in the public eye), but, of the two, Romney is conservative enough to make it through the GOP primaries (if he weren't Mormon there would be NO competition . . . but religious bigotry is unfortunately alive and well) whereas Giuliani's past (pro-gay rights, pro-abortion, messy public divorce, etc.) will make him a pill that is too hard to swallow for the GOP base.

At 10:07 PM, Blogger RudyBlogger said...

Well, we're clearly not going to convince each other. :-)

Don't get me wrong. Romney's a good guy. But a one-term governor with no national security experience simply cannot compare to the most successful public executive of our generation. Rudy stared our nation's worst crisis in the face and brought us through it with grace and courage.

OK, down off my soapbox. Overall, Romney is far preferable to McCain and would be my second choice.

As whether the Mormon thing hurts Romney more, or the pro-choice thing hurts Rudy more -- especially given his reputation -- I'd say they hurt about equally.

At 6:32 PM, Blogger Jeff Fuller said...

This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.

At 6:34 PM, Blogger Jeff Fuller said...

This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.

At 6:36 PM, Blogger Jeff Fuller said...

I think Rudy could be the only thing stopping Romney from getting into the White House. Romney can get more GOP base support than Rudy and has a better chance of winning the primary than does Rudy (IMO). I think huge block of primary voters will be choosing between Romney and Giuliani (sounds like you're in that camp . . . though you've picked your horse, eh?). If Rudy decides to run they'll end up spitting the moderate Republican/Business-friendly votes and we'll be stuck with someone like Allen (who won't win a general election) or McCain (who is an unacceptable alternative to me an many GOPers)

So stop trying to draft Rudy!!! :-)

FYI I've got your poll summary linked from both of my blogsites and

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