Giuliani Blog Tracking the likely Presidential candidacy of Rudy Giuliani

Monday, June 12, 2006

Charlie Cook Blowback Makes the Hotline

Charlie Cook's assessment of frontrunner Rudy Giuliani and underdog John McCain is not going unchallenged:

GIULIANI: Not Cooked Yet

Righty supporters of ex-NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R) were not happy with Charlie Cook's latest assessment of Giuliani's chances in '08. The American Thinker believes Cook underestimates GOP discomfort with Sen. John McCain (R-AZ): "Giuliani may decide that Cook is right and not compete, in which case his analysis may be valid. What Cook misses is that many Republicans are not enthusiastic about McCain, but would accept him as the Republican candidate most likely to beat Hillary Clinton, if she were the Democratic nominee. But what Cook is missing is that among many of these same folks who would accept McCain, Giuliani is considered a better alternative, and a stronger candidate in a general election were he nominated."

The unofficial GiulianiBlog looks at online polls at hard right Free Republic and also concludes that Giuliani is more acceptable to the GOP base than McCain: "These are the results of polls taken on Free Republic, a destination that makes even conservatives in the blogosphere blanch. And while a significant chunk say they'd go third party with Rudy (they're Tancredoites, analogous to the Feingold backers on Daily Kos), just look at those McCain numbers. More Freepers would go third party than vote for McCain. Fully a third of Freepers would be willing to back Rudy but not McCain in a general election. If the pro-life, anti-illegal immigrant core of the party is given a clear choice between Rudy and McCain, they'll pick Rudy by a mile."

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