Giuliani Blog Tracking the likely Presidential candidacy of Rudy Giuliani

Tuesday, June 06, 2006

"Don't Bet Against Rudy"

Richard Baehr makes the case here.

Is conventional wisdom gelling on this? The social federalism rationale has been repeated so often, even I'm starting to find it a yawner, which means it might be starting to cut through. (It's argued by Baehr, and by Political Prognostications, and is preceded by Baseball Crank's August 2005 classic and blog comment threads even before then.)

From the discussions Baehr relays in his piece, it seems that there is a large group of pro-business, pro-GWOT conservatives (and even savvy social conservatives) who a) agree that McCain is unacceptable, and b) think an outsider like Rudy or Romney is the answer.

Favorite anecdote:

DeLay introduced Giuliani as the man on my right (in terms of seating). When Giuliani got up to speak, he told the audience that he might have to remind some voters in the years ahead of Congressman DeLay's description, that he was to the right of Tom DeLay.

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The "all or nothing" attitude displaed by many Democrats is, in my opinion, one of the main reasons they continue to lose. If enough Republicans are willing to cede to some difference of opinion with otherwise acceptable GOP candidates, the GOP can maintain the White House. If the majority of Republicans are obstinately opposed to supporting a candidate unless that person subscribes to everything they want, the GOP may lose.

 
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