Giuliani Blog Tracking the likely Presidential candidacy of Rudy Giuliani

Friday, June 09, 2006

Even More Important, The Next Prez's Rankings...

After my post on polls, let's take a look at another important indicator: the Next Prez's blog rankings. He's another one who doesn't buy the McCain hype, and he makes an interesting point about the Arizona prima donna:

1. Rudy Giuliani (steady) -- the conventional wisdom is that he's too liberal to win the Republican nomination, but he polls well on conservative websites along with surveys of the general public.

2. John McCain (falling) -- solid support for now, but with Giuliani vying for the backing of moderate Republicans, McCain is unlikely to win voters away from lesser known conservative challengers as they gain momentum.
Rudy is the more authentically moderate candidate, and as Strategic Vision's statewide polling suggests, McCain may be vulnerable to primary voters shopping around for a mainstream conservative candidate. His support is a mile wide and an inch deep. In the end, I think he's a 15% candidate -- Rudy cuts into his support among moderates and Romney cuts into his support among pro-business conservatives.

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