Giuliani Blog Tracking the likely Presidential candidacy of Rudy Giuliani

Friday, June 09, 2006

Two Contradictory National Polls, +8 in WI

Two days, two major polls on the Republican nomination. Rudy leads in one 29-24, and McCain leads the other 29-24.

First, Gallup:

Gallup Poll. June 1-4, 2006. N=419 Republicans and Republican leaners nationwide who are registered to vote. MoE ± 5.

Rudy Giuliani 29
John McCain 24
Newt Gingrich 8
Mitt Romney 6
Bill Frist 6
George Allen 5
Sam Brownback 2
Mike Huckabee 2
George Pataki 1
Someone else 3
None (vol.) 4
All/Any (vol.) 1
Unsure 9
Charlie Cook's poll has always showed it tied or McCain slightly ahead when other polls have shown Giuliani up. This one is no exception:
Cook Political Report/RT Strategies Poll. June 1-4, 2006. N=874 registered voters nationwide.

John McCain 29
Rudy Giuliani 24
Mitt Romney 8
Newt Gingrich 6
Bill Frist 5
George Pataki 4
George Allen 3
Tom Tancredo 3
Sam Brownback 1
Chuck Hagel 1
Mike Huckabee -
Unsure 15
Note: Crosstabs and PowerPoint on the Cook poll supposedly coming today.

Another wrinkle in the Gallup poll, which is now behind a subscriber wall: it showed Giuliani's lead narrowing to 2 when Republican leaners were excluded. This frankly runs counter to polls showing more active and intense Republicans supporting Rudy over McCain, but I suspect we won't really know the answer until someone conducts a poll of 800 to 1,200 likely Republican voters based on past vote history and voter registration.

Also, Strategic Vision (I love them) is out with a new Wisconsin poll showing Mark Green up by a point in the Governor's race and Rudy up by 8 in the Republican primary:
24. Who is your choice for the Republican Presidential nomination in 2008? (Tommy Thompson excluded; Republicans only)
Rudy Giuliani 38%
John McCain 30%
George Allen 5%
Mitt Romney 5%
Newt Gingrich 4%
Bill Frist 2%
Rick Santorum 1%
George Pataki 1%
Chuck Hagel 1%
Undecided 13%
Again, bizarelly, Condi hurts McCain when she's included. Is McCain particularly vulnerable to a spoiler candidacy?

Find this post interesting? Get posts
from this blog in your inbox once a day:


At 10:15 PM, Blogger ninest123 Ninest said...

ninest123 11.25
michael kors outlet online, burberry outlet online, prada handbags, oakley sunglasses, coach outlet, polo ralph lauren outlet, replica watches, replica watches, red bottom shoes, nike free, gucci handbags, oakley sunglasses, longchamp outlet, oakley vault, longchamp handbags, louis vuitton handbags, cheap oakley sunglasses, michael kors outlet, louis vuitton outlet, christian louboutin shoes, polo ralph lauren, michael kors handbags, michael kors outlet store, burberry outlet online, longchamp outlet online, cheap ugg boots outlet, michael kors outlet online, nike air max, nike air max, ugg boots clearance, tiffany jewelry, ugg australia, louis vuitton, louis vuitton outlet, tiffany and co, jordan shoes, ugg outlet, tory burch outlet online, prada outlet, nike outlet, ray ban outlet, ray ban sunglasses, chanel handbags, cheap ugg boots, christian louboutin outlet, cheap oakley sunglasses, ray ban sunglasses, christian louboutin

At 10:17 PM, Blogger ninest123 Ninest said...

lululemon outlet online, nike air force, sac vanessa bruno, true religion outlet, hollister, nike blazer pas cher, mulberry uk, nike trainers, air max pas cher, hollister uk, nike air huarache, longchamp pas cher, converse pas cher, oakley pas cher, true religion outlet, scarpe hogan, true religion, ray ban uk, north face pas cher, michael kors canada, north face, tn pas cher, nike free pas cher, air jordan, hollister, coach outlet, burberry pas cher, nike free, timberland pas cher, michael kors, nike air max, coach purses, hermes pas cher, michael kors uk, coach outlet store online, longchamp, lacoste pas cher, true religion jeans, ray ban pas cher, nike roshe, ralph lauren pas cher, new balance pas cher, louboutin, guess pas cher, ralph lauren uk, nike roshe run, vans pas cher, air max, longchamp, nike air max

At 10:20 PM, Blogger ninest123 Ninest said...

mont blanc pens, s6 cases, oakley, hollister clothing store, iphone 6 cases, ralph lauren, iphone 6s cases, iphone 5s cases, baseball bats, abercrombie and fitch, iphone 6s plus cases, asics shoes, mcm handbags, giuseppe zanotti, iphone cases, vans outlet, p90x workout, soccer shoes, north face jackets, bottega veneta, abercrombie, timberland boots, chi flat iron, new balance outlet, ray ban, insanity workout, jimmy choo shoes, soccer jerseys, reebok shoes, wedding dresses, iphone 6 plus cases, vans, mac cosmetics, ghd, beats headphones, nike air max, instyler ionic styler, air max, herve leger, gucci, north face jackets, valentino shoes, converse, louboutin, lululemon outlet, ferragamo shoes, ipad cases, celine handbags, babyliss, nike roshe, nfl jerseys, birkin bag

At 10:22 PM, Blogger ninest123 Ninest said...

toms outlet, canada goose outlet, pandora charms, barbour, moncler, canada goose, moncler, moncler, canada goose, canada goose outlet, converse shoes, uggs canada, pandora uk, uggs outlet, marc jacobs handbags, moncler outlet, ugg, juicy couture outlet, sac louis vuitton, louis vuitton canada, moncler, coach outlet, louis vuitton uk, doke gabbana outlet, canada goose, pandora jewelry, barbour jackets, sac lancel, swarovski jewelry, montre femme, thomas sabo uk, karen millen, moncler, supra shoes, ugg, canada goose, louis vuitton, moncler, hollister canada, replica watches, moncler outlet, michael kors outlet, canada goose outlet, canada goose pas cher, pandora jewelry, wedding dress, ugg boots, swarovski uk, juicy couture, louis vuitton pas cher, ugg soldes, links of london uk
ninest123 11.25


Post a Comment

<< Home