Giuliani Blog Tracking the likely Presidential candidacy of Rudy Giuliani

Wednesday, August 23, 2006

Giuliani Leads Georgia by 10 (Piling On, I Know...)

In the wake of the Iowa eye-opener, this might seem like piling on, but long term it's equally as significant.

Down South, it's Rudy all the way:

19. For the 2008 Republican Presidential Nomination whom would you support? (Republicans Only)
Rudy Giuliani 30%
John McCain 20%
Newt Gingrich 17%
Mitt Romney 6%
Bill Frist 5%
George Allen 3%
Rick Santorum 1%
George Pataki 1%
Chuck Hagel 1%
Undecided 16%

It's time to stop considering conservative support for Rudy as a theory and start treating it as a fact. Iowa... Georgia... Wisconsin... Pennsylvania... America's Mayor will be America's Nominee and America's President.

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At 3:53 AM, Blogger Alteris said...

And that's without Newt's wide cadre of followers. I bet they will fit in just fine in the Giuliani camp.

Georgia leans more for fiscal conservatism (a Giuliani strength) than the rest of the south IMO (though national defense is just as big as it is elsewhere), but it's still a great showing, especially with Newt on there and having so much of a pull.

At 9:24 AM, Blogger Monkeydarts said...

There are 5 voters in my household here in SC. We'll all be voting in the Republican Presidential Primary. None of us would ever vote for John McCain. All of us COULD vote for Rudy. We're always bemused by the folks in NY and DC assuming they know about southern voters because they drop in for a few days every four years. Rudy can win here in SC if he addresses the social issues by telling us the type of nominees he'd have for the courts. If his models are Scalia, Thomas, Roberts and Alito he'll do fine. Here's the thing abt/ Giuliani-- when he tells me something (i.e.-court nominees)I'll trust him and hold him to it. If McCain tells me the sky is blue I'll ask for a second opinion. And it won't be from Tim Russert, Chris Matthews or Senator Graham.

At 3:56 PM, Blogger PHS1 said...

The Republican case for Rudy Giuliani.

And I make it as a pro-life, (practicing) Catholic, conservative, Ronald Reagan Republican.

The era of politics as usual is over.

Terrorist suicide bombers, without a formal state sponsor we can easily go back and punish or isolate, who hate our society and are willing to trade their lives for ours to carry out jihad, are continuing to plot mass mayhem against us, some of which has been successful. And if we lose on this most important issue of our time then nothing else literally will matter.

Despite virtually continuous congressional control since 1994 and presidential victories in 2000 and 2004, Republicans at the national level have made little or no impact on many of the major issues of our day - the growing size of government (which makes it increasingly impossible to manage - in addition to being inefficient, wasteful, expensive, and repressive), the deficit and federal spending, energy independence, social security reform, healthcare reform, medicare reform, economic accountability and freedom, race relations, defense and law enforcement and intelligence modernity, immigration (both legal and illegal), and which nations we will allow to have nuclear weapons. So it is no longer acceptable to support a politician just because they appear to agree with you on the issues.

Social issues, while of vital importance to all of us as humans and citizens and children of God, are likely to only be impacted at the margins by the succeeding congresses and the next administration. The country is divided on abortion, so even if Roe and Casey are overturned by the U.S. Supreme Court we will have some states making it legal and other states making it illegal. Gay marriage is vastly out of favor among Americans, but civil unions that codify and protect the rights of cohabitants of the same sex are virtually inevitable because they are efficacious. Even liberal constitutional scholars agree that the Second Amendment protects the right of individuals to bear arms, while governments will continue to be allowed by courts to mandate background checks and prohibit sales of automatic and assault-style weapons. The church and state debate will require the U.S. Supreme Court to clean up and clarify its First Amendment, Establishment Clause jurisprudence, which neither citizen nor politician can hope to hasten much. So the best we can do in these areas is elect a candidate who leads by example - behaving and being motivated by faith, and taking responsibility for the good with the bad - who will appoint textualists to the federal bench that will construe the Constitution, statutes, and regulations reasonably.

The era of politics as usual is over.

What voters will be looking for in these turbulent times is a presidential candidate of principle - someone willing to stick to beliefs and lead the polls rather than follow them; someone interested in doing the job rather than just having it; someone willing to lose the job if need be to pursue their own agenda; someone who will not fail to do anything or enough on the issues voters elected them for; someone nobody will be sorry to have voted for. What voters will also realize is that no candidate is perfect, and campaigns designed to assume otherwise should be considered suspect.

But as important as principles and philosophies will be, voters will also be looking for a chief executive and commander in chief - someone with the focus, stamina, skill, and experience to manage vital issues in an enormous bureaucracy and drive progress and change; someone with a track record of success in implementing their public policy agenda no matter the obstacles.

The era of politics as usual is over.

Voters are ready to support a presidential candidate with whom they may disagree on particular issues but who they perceive as a leader - as with Ronald Reagan. The stakes are too high for voters to be fooled by personal attacks, flip-flops, slogans, empty promises, rhetoric without a record, and business as usual.

The Reverend Al Sharpton got it right, but for the wrong reasons: It's Giuliani time.

At 9:13 PM, Blogger Gary Matthew Miller said...

I agree with monkeydarts on being able to support Hizzoner if he articulates a plan of appointing originalist judges.

That said, you're running a dangerous gambit, GB. The Mayor cannot possibly score any higher than he does now when nobody is paying attention to his position on social issues. You run the risk of setting up a "surging" McCain or (I hope) Gov. Romney.

My advice on these polls are released showing the Mayor in the lead is to act like Barry Sanders after a touchdown -- act like you'll score again rather than spiking it in your opponents' face.

At 11:20 PM, Blogger Alteris said...

I find it entirely plausible, even likely, that Rudy's support versus the other candidates will continue to grow as some like Allen start to show signs of weakness and others signal that they will be on the sidelines in '08.

But I agree with your sentiments as to celebrating Giuliani wins with an optimistic eye to the chances of the future, and not so much a beating around of McCain. He's well-liked among moderates, the people that win the elections, and Giuliani backers should try to stay away from slapping him around the same way Democrats do Lieberman. They are in for a world of long-term hurt because of it, and I fear the Republicans will be in '08 if they destroy McCain with the same sort of vitriol that Lieberman was shot at with, and the MSM wants to paint him as the "moderate martyr" who was ever so viciously purged by hardcore conservatives (and you know they will, if you give them a shred of chance). Rudy himself should stay above that behavior and not be the anti-McCain or the anti-Hillary, but the Rudy Giuliani we know and support vigorously.

No one needs to love McCain, but lets not allow the MSM make a martyr out of him and bring ruin to the conservative movement. Rudy will need the same Americans that McCain rallies to become President.

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