Giuliani Blog Tracking the likely Presidential candidacy of Rudy Giuliani

Tuesday, August 22, 2006


This is the first all-caps title ever used on Giuliani Blog, and deservedly so.

So, remember the c.w. that Rudy may poll well nationally, but doesn't stand a chance in the Iowa Caucuses dominated by Christian conservatives?

Well, not so much. From an (R) poll conducted by Victory Enterprises, the firm of former Iowa GOP Chairman Steve Grubbs (N=400 caucus-goers):

Rudy Giuliani 30.0%
John McCain 17.3%
Bill Frist 6.5%
Mitt Romney 4.5%
George Allen 3.5%
George Pataki 3.3%
Mike Huckabee 2.5%
Sam Brownback 2.5%

This goes with all the usual caveats. The margin of error will be relatively high. It's still early, and the lesser known candidates still need to introduce themselves.

But it's worth noting that those unknown quantities with huge upside potential do not include one Senator from Arizona.

(Oh, and 70% of the sample describe themselves as pro-life.)

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At 4:01 AM, Blogger Alteris said...

Romney's and Allen's low numbers surprise me.

At 9:37 AM, Blogger A Menken Moment said...

What is your guess why Giuliani leads in Christian-conservative Iowa? Considerations of national defense trump the debates over abortion and other moral issues right now?


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