Giuliani Blog Tracking the likely Presidential candidacy of Rudy Giuliani

Saturday, August 26, 2006

WaPo's Glenn Frankel Falsely States that Rudy Runs Second in the Polls

I don't want to begrude McCain his big profile in the WaPo's Sunday magazine. With all his complexities and contradictions, he makes an interesting subject. But this meme is just outright inaccurate, and needs to be killed dead, dead, dead:

Early polls indicate he gets twice as much support as any other likely Republican candidate except Rudy Giuliani, the former mayor of New York City, who runs close behind. (emphasis)


Not in the Pew poll taken last week. Not in any national poll taken this year -- except for Cook Political (whose pollster took a gig with the McCain camp). Not in Iowa. Not in Strategic Vision's multi-state surveys.

Frankel is holding an online chat about this piece Monday at noon. Why not help correct the record by submitting a question?

Rudy is the legitimate frontrunner for the '08 nomination, by virtue of his standing in polls and the enthusiasm he seems to generate across the Republican spectrum, most notably among the more conservative political early-adopter types outside D.C.

McCain is a potential frontrunner who runs close behind Rudy in polls but far behind him in grassroots enthusiasm. He is putting together a strong organization, copying what he believes was the Bush model from '00. He says so much in the piece:

Then, more seriously: "I think it's very clear that then-Gov. Bush had the support of the Republican establishment. He worked hard for it, and he gained it, and he deserved it." Leaving little doubt that McCain would like to accomplish the same thing himself this time around.

The thing is, that wasn't really the Bush model. I suspect if you ask a reporter, they'll tell you that was the Bush model. Even Karl Rove might describe the Bush model this way.

But the simple fact is that Bush was well out in front in the polls before he started signing consultants. It was clear from the very beginning he was a man rank-and-file Republicans could support. In 1998, I was certain George W. Bush would be the nominee and was as excited about him then as I am about Rudy Giuliani now. Bush wasn't crowned in the Beltway, though goodwill for his father certainly had something to do with it. The Bush ascendancy in '98-'99 was all about Austin, his outsider/reformer image, and his support among the rank-and-file. Seeking a winner, the big money and the huge organization followed after.

McCain's message right now is all about his organization. He's not developing a policy rationale -- at least not one that's compelling to conservatives. And it's going to haunt him. Because if 2008 is anything like 2000, the base is going to want to like its nominee and not just feel steamrolled into supporting them.

As an early Bush supporter in '00, Rudy '08 almost feels like deja vu.

Find this post interesting? Get posts
from this blog in your inbox once a day:


At 1:35 AM, Blogger ninest123 Ninest said...

ninest123 10.23
burberry outlet online, ugg boots, replica watches, louis vuitton, oakley sunglasses, longchamp, ray ban sunglasses, michael kors outlet, tiffany and co, louis vuitton outlet, replica watches, louboutin shoes, cheap oakley sunglasses, ugg boots, nike outlet, nike air max, michael kors, oakley sunglasses, burberry, uggs on sale, michael kors outlet, ray ban sunglasses, nike free, kate spade outlet, polo ralph lauren outlet, michael kors outlet, polo ralph lauren outlet, jordan shoes, christian louboutin outlet, prada outlet, michael kors outlet, prada handbags, oakley sunglasses, ray ban sunglasses, nike air max, longchamp outlet, louboutin, louis vuitton, ugg boots, tiffany jewelry, chanel handbags, tory burch outlet, gucci outlet, louis vuitton outlet, michael kors outlet, ugg boots, oakley sunglasses, longchamp outlet, louboutin outlet

At 1:36 AM, Blogger ninest123 Ninest said...

sac longchamp, coach factory outlet, burberry, hollister pas cher, true religion jeans, kate spade handbags, hermes, ray ban pas cher, sac guess, nike air max, true religion jeans, lululemon, air force, louboutin pas cher, coach outlet, true religion jeans, nike roshe, nike blazer, michael kors, nike air max, michael kors, converse pas cher, ralph lauren uk, mulberry, vanessa bruno, vans pas cher, coach outlet, air jordan pas cher, nike free, air max, ray ban uk, north face, lacoste pas cher, nike free run uk, nike roshe run, hollister, new balance pas cher, michael kors, hogan, coach purses, tn pas cher, abercrombie and fitch, longchamp pas cher, oakley pas cher, timberland, michael kors, true religion outlet, north face, nike air max, ralph lauren pas cher, louis vuitton

At 1:38 AM, Blogger ninest123 Ninest said...

birkin bag, soccer shoes, celine handbags, louboutin, vans shoes, mac cosmetics, nike air max, baseball bats, lululemon, wedding dresses, gucci, nike roshe, iphone 6 cases, hollister, mcm handbags, hollister, instyler, reebok shoes, bottega veneta, converse, p90x workout, asics running shoes, hollister, mont blanc, ghd, insanity workout, nfl jerseys, chi flat iron, new balance, nike trainers, beats by dre, jimmy choo shoes, north face outlet, longchamp, ralph lauren, herve leger, ray ban, valentino shoes, giuseppe zanotti, ferragamo shoes, nike huarache, vans, abercrombie and fitch, oakley, nike air max, soccer jerseys, timberland boots, babyliss, converse outlet, north face outlet, swarovski

At 1:39 AM, Blogger ninest123 Ninest said...

pandora charms, moncler, sac louis vuitton pas cher, moncler outlet, thomas sabo, pandora charms, louis vuitton, juicy couture outlet, hollister, wedding dresses, juicy couture outlet, moncler, michael kors outlet online, ugg,ugg australia,ugg italia, links of london, marc jacobs, ugg,uggs,uggs canada, pandora jewelry, barbour, canada goose, michael kors handbags, louis vuitton, montre pas cher, canada goose outlet, swarovski crystal, lancel, moncler, bottes ugg, moncler, canada goose outlet, canada goose, moncler, canada goose, canada goose uk, pandora jewelry, moncler, louis vuitton, coach outlet, doudoune canada goose, moncler, toms shoes, replica watches, louis vuitton, barbour jackets, supra shoes, ugg boots uk, michael kors outlet, karen millen, canada goose, doke gabbana outlet, ugg pas cher
ninest123 10.23


Post a Comment

<< Home