Rudy Trails the Wizard of New Hampshire By 8

When John McCain won New Hampshire by 19 points, it set off a feeding frenzy like none I had ever seen. Nobody had expected a victory margin that great, over a candidate who had all the endorsements and all the organization. He won virtually every demographic group, and every region of the state. John McCain was (and is) the Wizard of New Hampshire.

So it's a bit surprising to see his lead cut to just 8, and his 49 percent from '00 turning into 26 percent in '08. It could be that his support is massively understated (if McCain can't trounce the field in New Hampshire, where can he?) or that New Hampshire truly is a wide-open race. This much is clear. If I'm wrong and McCain truly is the Republican frontrunner, he will need a decisive double-digit win in New Hampshire to prove it.

The top three candidates come in as follows: McCain 26, Rudy 18, Romney 12.

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