Giuliani Notes: Iowa Poll Shows Romney Lead a BLIP
Cross Posted from the FullosseousFlap's Dental Blog
Flap reported a few days ago a break-out by Mitt Romney in the Des Moines Register poll. Apparently this was a statistical abnormality or BLIP - especially since Fred Thompson and Newt Ginrich were not included in the poll.
The latest Iowa poll by Strategic Vision tells a different story:
- Mitt Romney 20%
- Rudy Giuliani 18%
- John McCain 16%
- Fred Thompson 10%
- Tommy Thompson 7%
- Newt Gingrich 5%
- Mike Huckabee 3%
- Sam Brownback 2%
- Tom Tancredo 2%
- Ron Paul 2%
- Duncan Hunter 1%
- Jim Gilmore 1%
- Chuck Hagel 1%
- Undecided 12%
Let’s now look at the Real Clear Politics summary poll for Iowa:
Without a doubt, the Mayor has fallen out of favor in the Iowa polls since March. However, he has stabilized over the past month and is in a virtual DEAD HEAT with Romney and McCain.
Iowa is a state that Mitt Romney MUST win. The Mittster wishes to catapult himself from the Iowa Caucuses on January 14th to Nevada on January 19th and then to New Hampshire on January 22nd. This is the Mitt-Mentum strategy.
Hizzoner, on the other hand, strategizes with a big win in Florida on January 29th to propel him to a knock-out win on February 5th with New York, New Jersey, California, Pennsylvania and Illinois. California has five times the GOP delegates as Iowa.
Will Rudy spend the $millions to compete in the Iowa Straw Poll or compete at all in the Iowa Caucuses?
Pundits will have to wait.
And wait for what?
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