Giuliani Blog Tracking the likely Presidential candidacy of Rudy Giuliani

Sunday, August 12, 2007

Rudy Giuliani Watch: Iowa and New Hampshire Ready to Set Primary Dates

Cross Posted from the FullosseousFlap's Dental Blog

A campaign worker for Republican Presidential Candidate Ron Paul places a sign along a highway near the Iowa Straw Poll in Ames, Iowa, August 11, 2007.

Fox News is reporting that New Hampshire and Iowa are about ready to set their GOP primary and caucus dates.

The early state elections prior to Super Duper Tuesday February 5, 2008 would thus break down:

  • January 5 - Iowa Caucus
  • January 12 - New Hampshire Primary
  • January 19 - South Carolina and Nevada
  • January 29 - Florida

So, what does this mean for Rudy and his quest for the GOP nomination?

1. Rudy will be “ON AIR” right after Christmas.

2. Californians will begin voting by mail prior to the New Hampshire Primary - this diluting the influence effects of all of the early primaries on California voters. Advantage Giuliani.

3. Weather and winter conditions may play a role in the GOP nomination process - although the early elections/caucuses are on Saturday which may aid turnout some.

4. Rudy will have the early advantage of campaign resources since he has more cash on hand than any other candidate. Look for heavy media buys in Florida and Super Tuesday states, including Illinois and Florida.

5. This calendar will favor Rudy and somewhat Romney. An earlier calendar may persuade Fred Thompson to return to Law and Order. Newt Gingrich can forget about it. If you have no money, you won’t be able to go on television and into the mailbox.

Stay tuned…….

Fresh from the Republican Debates, Rudy Giuliani waits to be introduced at a town hall style meeting at the Bettendorf High School, in Bettendorf, Iowa on August 7.


Rudy Giuliani Watch: Ames Straw Poll is Over

Rudy Giuliani Watch: Why Rudy Did Not Go To Ames #1

Rudy Giuliani Watch: Grassley - Mistake for Rudy to Skip Ames Straw Poll?

Rudy Giuliani Watch: John Edwards Attacks Rudy Over 9/11

Representative Charles Rangel Calls Rudy Giuliani a Bum

In California Giuliani Now Leads Thompson 2 to 1 and Romney 4 to 1

Rudy Giuliani Watch: Mitt Romney HYPOCRITICALLY Attacks Giuliani on Illegal Immigration

Some Giuliani After Dark

John Edwards Calls Rudy Giuliani - “Bush on Steroids”

Rudy Giuliani Watch: Is Barack Obama Plagiarising Rudy?

Rudy Giuliani Watch: Why The You Tube Debate is Flawed

Rudy Giuliani Watch: Rudy’s Commitment to Health Care

Rudy Giuliani Watch: Democrats Want NANNY Government to Control Your Life

Rudy Giuliani Watch: The You Tube Debate Flap Continues With CNN Attempting to Reschedule Debate

The Rudy Giuliani Archive

Technorati Tags:

Find this post interesting? Get posts
from this blog in your inbox once a day:


At 1:24 PM, Blogger Roland Ilsen said...

The entire US population should have forge-proof ID cards. If all of us don’t have IDs, illeglas may claim to be citizens and not needing an ID. Citizens should have blue IDs, with red Ids for foreigners with due departure date indicated. The ID should be shown when voting, applying for a job, etc.
I am an immigrant, as is my wife, coming from two very different countries. Our children are Americans, not ethnic-Americans. I am in favor of legal immigration and the US continuing being a melting pot of legal immigrants. I am against people who are felons living in the US with forged federal documents and congregating in ethnic enclaves demanding to be addressed in their own language.

At 5:33 PM, Blogger Rob said...

SUMMARY: Unless something changes, Clinton will win the Democratic party nomination, Romney (!) will win several states that vote in January, but Super Tuesday (Feb. 5), which includes California and New York (Giuliani strongholds) will probably decide the Republican party nomination (Thompson is an X-factor).

I think Iowa (Jan. 14), Michigan (Jan. 15), South Carolina (Jan. 19/29), Nevada (Jan. 19), New Hampshire (Jan. 22, but could move up), Florida (Jan. 29), California (Feb. 5) and New York (Feb. 5) will likely determine the Presidential candidates for November 2008. The Georgia Republican and Democratic primaries are February 5, 2008, and could be key in the GOP nomination. The Virginia and D.C. Republican and Democratic primaries are February 12, 2008, and may be a factor in the GOP nomination if Super Tuesday doesn't produce a front-runner. The Massachusetts and Texas Republican and Democratic primaries are March 4, 2008.

I have been following the state-by-state polling using a Wikipedia site that collects and tracks such data (sources for all polls are fully attributed). (FYI, I'm the "chart guy" on these sites.) I provide my personal observations of the trends for each race below.

Romney has a solid 15 point lead on everyone else, and about 30-35% of voters are still undecided.

Romney has a solid 9 point lead on everyone else, and about 30% of voters are still undecided and Thompson is showing strength.

====South Carolina====
Thompson (strengthening) and Giuliani (weakening) are the front-runners each having about 20-25% of the vote, and over 30% remain undecided.

Romney has a 5 point lead on Thompson and they are running neck-in-neck, and about 25% of voters are still undecided.

====New Hampshire====
Romney has a 10 point lead on everyone else, and about 20% of voters are still undecided.

Similar to South Carolina, Thompson (strengthening) and Giuliani (weakening) are the front-runners each having about 20-30% of the vote, and over 25% remain undecided.

Giuliani (weakening) maintains 30% support, and Thompson (strengthening) has nearly crossed the 20% mark, and about 20-25% remain undecided.

====New York====
Giuliani (weakening) maintains 45% support, and Thompson (strengthening) has crossed the 10% mark, and about 25% remain undecided.

Clinton is slowly building and recently passed Edwards. Obama is within 5 points and keeping pace with Clinton. 30% remain undecided.

Clinton commands a 15-20% lead on Obama with 20-25% undecided.

====South Carolina====
Clinton leads Obama by about 5 points. About 20-25% remain undecided.

Clinton commands a 15-20% lead on Obama with about 30% undecided.

====New Hampshire====
Clinton has expanded her lead to about 15 points on Obama with about 20-30% undecided.

Clinton commands a 20% lead on Obama with about 25-30% undecided.

Clinton has a 30% lead on Obama with about 20% undecided.

====New York====
Clinton has a 30-40% lead on Obama with about 20% undecided.

At 2:32 PM, Blogger Michael said...

I just read about this on Something does need to be done about illegal immigration and it needs to start with America not making it almost impossible to become a citizen. I'm feelin Giuliani on the fact that those illegal immigrants who have not committed crimes need help in gaining their citizenship.

At 12:12 AM, Blogger WebuyHousesEasy said...

The mindless sheep in america need to wake up and do some research! find out what very basic freedoms that have been already stripped away from us in the last 5 yrs! Do you not believe the Constitution and the bill of rights? We go to war on the idea of giving freedom and liberty to other nations but fear fighting freedom and liberty in our own country. It amazes me how much americans are allowing to be taken from us. We need a TRUE PATRIOT and leader like Ron Paul to restore our constitution

At 9:12 PM, Blogger ninest123 Ninest said...

ninest123 10.15
ralph lauren polo, uggs outlet, replica watches, chanel handbags, longchamp bags, longchamp outlet, prada outlet, michael kors outlet, burberry outlet, louboutin uk, louis vuitton outlet, prada handbags, tory burch outlet, replica watches, uggs on sale, nike free, michael kors outlet store, michael kors handbags, louis vuitton handbags, oakley sunglasses, gucci handbags, louis vuitton outlet online, cheap oakley sunglasses, louis vuitton, tiffany jewelry, louis vuitton outlet, ray ban sunglasses, longchamp outlet, oakley sunglasses, ralph lauren outlet, michael kors outlet online, michael kors outlet online, kate spade, christian louboutin, uggs on sale, burberry factory outlet, michael kors, nike air max, ray ban sunglasses, nike outlet, oakley sunglasses, tiffany jewelry, christian louboutin, uggs outlet, ray ban sunglasses, cheap jordans, uggs on sale, louboutin shoes

At 9:17 PM, Blogger ninest123 Ninest said...

michael kors, new balance, nike free pas cher, nike air force, michael kors, lululemon outlet, converse, lunette oakley pas cher, timberland pas cher, true religion outlet, coach purses, lunette ray ban pas cher, nike tn pas cher, jordan pas cher, vanessa bruno pas cher, coach outlet store online, sac guess pas cher, polo ralph lauren uk, nike roshe uk, vans pas cher, mulberry uk, nike air max pas cher, ray ban uk, abercrombie and fitch, hermes pas cher, nike air max uk, coach outlet, true religion outlet, north face uk, true religion outlet, abercrombie and fitch UK, longchamp soldes, true religion jeans, north face pas cher, kate spade outlet, hogan sito ufficiale, michael kors uk, nike blazer pas cher, nike air max uk, nike free, nike air max, nike roshe run pas cher, louboutin pas cher, michael kors outlet online, burberry pas cher, ralph lauren pas cher, longchamp pas cher, polo lacoste pas cher, coach outlet

At 9:20 PM, Blogger ninest123 Ninest said...

new balance shoes, soccer jerseys, vans scarpe, valentino shoes, ray ban, reebok outlet, abercrombie, nike roshe run, soccer shoes, beats by dre, salvatore ferragamo, polo ralph lauren, babyliss pro, nike air huarache, celine handbags, nfl jerseys, longchamp uk, ghd hair, hollister, iphone cases, converse shoes outlet, giuseppe zanotti, insanity workout, mcm handbags, mac cosmetics, herve leger, jimmy choo outlet, timberland boots, lululemon outlet, nike trainers uk, p90x workout, nike air max, hermes handbags, oakley, chi flat iron, abercrombie and fitch, vans outlet, converse, softball bats, gucci, nike air max, asics running shoes, louboutin, hollister clothing, bottega veneta, instyler ionic styler, mont blanc, north face outlet, north face outlet, wedding dresses, hollister uk, oakley sunglasses

At 9:23 PM, Blogger ninest123 Ninest said...

moncler uk, moncler, michael kors outlet, moncler, juicy couture outlet, supra shoes, michael kors outlet online, wedding dresses uk, canada goose, canada goose outlet, pandora jewelry, doke & gabbana, coach outlet, louis vuitton uk, sac louis vuitton, links of london uk, ugg,uggs,uggs canada, moncler pas cher, toms shoes, canada goose, barbour jackets uk, swarovski jewelry, sac louis vuitton, canada goose outlet, moncler, moncler, canada goose jackets, michael kors handbags, marc jacobs, pandora uk, moncler jackets, ugg uk, juicy couture outlet, canada goose uk, moncler outlet, barbour, pandora jewelry, hollister, thomas sabo uk, replica watches, louis vuitton, bottes ugg pas cher, pandora charms, lancel, louis vuitton, canada goose jackets, montre pas cher, swarovski uk, karen millen uk, canada goose pas cher, ugg pas cher
ninest123 10.15

At 1:06 AM, Blogger Minko Chen said...

michael kors factory store
prada outlet online
winter coats
mlb jerseys
parajumpers outlet
tory burch outlet
salomon shoes
coach outlet online
canada goose outelt
michael kors outlet
nba jerseys
ugg boots sale
swarovski outlet
true religion jeans
discount oakley sunglasses
cyber monday 2015
cheap jordans
michael kors outlet online
ugg boots
oakley outlet store

At 11:17 PM, Blogger dong dong23 said...

burberry outlet online
lebron james shoes
adidas shoes
cheap jordans
burberry outlet
cheap nfl jerseys
louis vuitton outlet
ray ban sunglasses
coach outlet store online
nike outlet
louis vuitton
kate spade outlet
timberland outlet
coach factory
louis vuitton bags
coach outlet
louis vuitton outlet
louboutin pas cher
nfl jerseys wholesale
kobe 11
louis vuitton outlet
michael kors outlet online
cheap jordan shoes
kate spade handbags
michael kors outlet clearance
toms shoes
nike nfl jerseys
louis vuitton handbags
nike running shoes
toms shoes
michael kors outlet
ray ban sunglasses outlet
gucci outlet
nike air max
kobe shoes 11
gucci handbags
fitflops sale clearance
michael kors outlet
michael kors outlet


Post a Comment

<< Home