Giuliani Blog Tracking the likely Presidential candidacy of Rudy Giuliani

Wednesday, August 09, 2006

A Bad Night for John McCain

Lieberman loses and is thown out of the party. In MI-07, McCain-endorsed Joe Schwarz is booted by a conservative primary challenger. Primary voters tire easily of mavericks.

I'll tread lightly on what these primaries mean for good or ill, because a rejection of a "moderate" like McCain can also mean the rejection of a "moderate" like Rudy. But I think we can cautiously assume that hardcore, ideological primary voters (and they're even more hardcore in off-years) will accept a more "moderate" nominee (Baar-Topinka in IL, Corker in TN) who is perceived as absolutely loyal to the party. If you generally vote like a liberal but cross your party on an issue of fundamental importance (Lieberman on Iraq = McCain on immigration and taxes) or if you actively campaign as a RINO (Schwarz), you lose. If Rudy tries to act like a maverick or play the moderate, I'll be much more sanguine about his chances.

And to Gary, no, this doesn't mean Giuliani is a liberal, only that he will be attacked as such and we should be prepared. The 2006 Republican primary season provides clear guideposts for when those charges stick and when they don't.

Find this post interesting? Get posts
from this blog in your inbox once a day:


At 2:23 AM, Blogger LJ said...

This is ridiculous. Joe Schwarz was endorsed by not only John McCain but also President Bush as well, along with most of the Michigan Republican Party. I hardly think that you can extrapolate Schwarz's loss as a negative for McCain. If that's the case then Ralph Reed's primary loss last month should be the death knell for Rudy's campaign.

Frankly, I'm still amazed at how you can view Rudy as anything more than a glorified RINO.

At 8:30 AM, Blogger Gary Matthew Miller said...

Yes, both conservatives and Rudy backers can rejoice that the Bush/McCain candidate was defeated here.

At 8:39 AM, Blogger RudyBlogger said...

That's exactly right. Schwarz was the establishment candidate. And in MI, we are told that McCain is the one with the most extensive support from the MRP and has all the establishment support.

That support didn't come through for Schwarz. How are we to expect it will come through for McCain when the '08 primary will be even more difficult for the poo-bahs to control?

At 1:36 AM, Blogger ninest123 Ninest said...

ninest123 10.23
burberry outlet online, ugg boots, replica watches, louis vuitton, oakley sunglasses, longchamp, ray ban sunglasses, michael kors outlet, tiffany and co, louis vuitton outlet, replica watches, louboutin shoes, cheap oakley sunglasses, ugg boots, nike outlet, nike air max, michael kors, oakley sunglasses, burberry, uggs on sale, michael kors outlet, ray ban sunglasses, nike free, kate spade outlet, polo ralph lauren outlet, michael kors outlet, polo ralph lauren outlet, jordan shoes, christian louboutin outlet, prada outlet, michael kors outlet, prada handbags, oakley sunglasses, ray ban sunglasses, nike air max, longchamp outlet, louboutin, louis vuitton, ugg boots, tiffany jewelry, chanel handbags, tory burch outlet, gucci outlet, louis vuitton outlet, michael kors outlet, ugg boots, oakley sunglasses, longchamp outlet, louboutin outlet

At 1:37 AM, Blogger ninest123 Ninest said...

sac longchamp, coach factory outlet, burberry, hollister pas cher, true religion jeans, kate spade handbags, hermes, ray ban pas cher, sac guess, nike air max, true religion jeans, lululemon, air force, louboutin pas cher, coach outlet, true religion jeans, nike roshe, nike blazer, michael kors, nike air max, michael kors, converse pas cher, ralph lauren uk, mulberry, vanessa bruno, vans pas cher, coach outlet, air jordan pas cher, nike free, air max, ray ban uk, north face, lacoste pas cher, nike free run uk, nike roshe run, hollister, new balance pas cher, michael kors, hogan, coach purses, tn pas cher, abercrombie and fitch, longchamp pas cher, oakley pas cher, timberland, michael kors, true religion outlet, north face, nike air max, ralph lauren pas cher, louis vuitton

At 1:39 AM, Blogger ninest123 Ninest said...

birkin bag, soccer shoes, celine handbags, louboutin, vans shoes, mac cosmetics, nike air max, baseball bats, lululemon, wedding dresses, gucci, nike roshe, iphone 6 cases, hollister, mcm handbags, hollister, instyler, reebok shoes, bottega veneta, converse, p90x workout, asics running shoes, hollister, mont blanc, ghd, insanity workout, nfl jerseys, chi flat iron, new balance, nike trainers, beats by dre, jimmy choo shoes, north face outlet, longchamp, ralph lauren, herve leger, ray ban, valentino shoes, giuseppe zanotti, ferragamo shoes, nike huarache, vans, abercrombie and fitch, oakley, nike air max, soccer jerseys, timberland boots, babyliss, converse outlet, north face outlet, swarovski

At 1:40 AM, Blogger ninest123 Ninest said...

pandora charms, moncler, sac louis vuitton pas cher, moncler outlet, thomas sabo, pandora charms, louis vuitton, juicy couture outlet, hollister, wedding dresses, juicy couture outlet, moncler, michael kors outlet online, ugg,ugg australia,ugg italia, links of london, marc jacobs, ugg,uggs,uggs canada, pandora jewelry, barbour, canada goose, michael kors handbags, louis vuitton, montre pas cher, canada goose outlet, swarovski crystal, lancel, moncler, bottes ugg, moncler, canada goose outlet, canada goose, moncler, canada goose, canada goose uk, pandora jewelry, moncler, louis vuitton, coach outlet, doudoune canada goose, moncler, toms shoes, replica watches, louis vuitton, barbour jackets, supra shoes, ugg boots uk, michael kors outlet, karen millen, canada goose, doke gabbana outlet, ugg pas cher
ninest123 10.23

At 5:07 AM, Blogger Mie Helal said...

I was excited to discover this website


Post a Comment

<< Home