Giuliani Blog Tracking the likely Presidential candidacy of Rudy Giuliani

Thursday, September 21, 2006

Are You Ready for Rudy '08?

I was thinking something the other day. When Rudy announces, it's going to shock the pundits and turn the political world upside down. Why? Because reading several pieces over the last few days, it's clear that the political establishment doesn't quite know what to make of Rudy's overwhelming support and what it might do to the field.

Over the weekend, Iowa Senator Chuck Grassley put Rudy in one of the frontrunner slots if he decides to run:

The venerable Charles Ernest Grassley said on Iowa Press this weekend that for 08 "Only one stands out right now." In his estimation that person is fellow Senator John McCain. He did add the Rudy Giuliani would stand out as well "if he were in campaign mode."

It still amazes me that people say "if he were in campaign mode," but coming from the great state of Iowa, I'll take it.

For another example of this phenomenon, check out Howard Fineman, who suggests that Rudy could be among the candidates to pick up a lot of young Bush aides... if he runs:

Anti-McCain Republicans don’t have a single alternative, but seem to be gravitating to Gov. Mitt Romney of Massachusetts. The McCain people view him as serious competition: they have been wooing supporters in part by showing them polling match-ups in which McCain defeats Romney. Sen. George Allen of Virginia was last year’s anti-McCainanite, but the bloom – indeed the whole stem – is off of that rose. The Big Unknown: Rudy Giuliani. He’s the only one who can scramble the current outlines of the race, which is: McCain/Romney and a southerner to be named later (Bill Frist, Newt Gingrich, Allen, Mike Huckabee of Arkansas).

Here it's the same thing. We don't know if Rudy's gonna run, but if he does... hold on to your seats. Never mind that he's said through friends he going to run, and he's visiting early primary states like South Carolina and New Hampshire.

A few weeks ago, I too would have worried about Rudy's lack of hiring for an '08 run. But it's now painfully clear that McCain's hiring spasm was borne out of weakness -- weaknesses that were exposed in the last week. He's gone into maverick remission, and he still remains deeply distrusted both outside the Beltway, and it is now clear, inside too. Meanwhile, Rudy has only continued to rise in the polls despite not being in the news very much. He has avoided unneeded scrutiny as he cements his frontrunner status -- but he will need to confront that scrutiny with gusto in '07.

Meanwhile, you'll have to read blogs like this one to figure out what Rudy would do to the race, because the media types won't tell you. A few weeks ago, I laid it all out:

1. January-June 2007: Media is obsessed with the Rudy vs. McCain dynamic, covering their every hire and fundraising report. The race remains relatively static.  
2. Summer 2007: Media notices that a conservative dark horse starts to make a move. Polls begin to look like Rudy 30%, McCain 25%, Conservative "alternative" 15%.
3. Also during Summer 2007: Pundits also notice that McCain, under withering attack from 527s, talk radio and bloggers, hasn't moved at all. A poll or two showing him below 20% gets the media in a tizzy about the bursting of the McCain frontrunner bubble. McCain starts losing what conservative support he had. But the race isn't leaderless -- Rudy is there, deftly taking advantage, and the defection of a major fundraiser or two from McCain is taken as a sign of shifting momentum.
4. Fall-Winter 2007: Polls show Rudy 35%, Conservative "alternative" 20%, McCain 15%.
5. Alternative candidate surges and wins Iowa, with Rudy second. McCain is a distant third.
6. McCain tries to revive in New Hampshire but it's too late. Rudy wins. McCain drops out. 
7. Conservative alternative wins South Carolina and possibly Michigan. But Rudy wins a moved-up Florida primary to shift the momentum back his way.
8. But Rudy cleans up on Super Tuesday, winning New York, California, and Ohio.  

Find this post interesting? Get posts
from this blog in your inbox once a day:


At 4:06 PM, Blogger Brian said...

Were ready for Rudy to go back to wherever the hell he came from!

At 11:56 PM, Blogger ninest123 Ninest said...

ninest123 10.23
burberry outlet online, ugg boots, replica watches, louis vuitton, oakley sunglasses, longchamp, ray ban sunglasses, michael kors outlet, tiffany and co, louis vuitton outlet, replica watches, louboutin shoes, cheap oakley sunglasses, ugg boots, nike outlet, nike air max, michael kors, oakley sunglasses, burberry, uggs on sale, michael kors outlet, ray ban sunglasses, nike free, kate spade outlet, polo ralph lauren outlet, michael kors outlet, polo ralph lauren outlet, jordan shoes, christian louboutin outlet, prada outlet, michael kors outlet, prada handbags, oakley sunglasses, ray ban sunglasses, nike air max, longchamp outlet, louboutin, louis vuitton, ugg boots, tiffany jewelry, chanel handbags, tory burch outlet, gucci outlet, louis vuitton outlet, michael kors outlet, ugg boots, oakley sunglasses, longchamp outlet, louboutin outlet

At 11:57 PM, Blogger ninest123 Ninest said...

sac longchamp, coach factory outlet, burberry, hollister pas cher, true religion jeans, kate spade handbags, hermes, ray ban pas cher, sac guess, nike air max, true religion jeans, lululemon, air force, louboutin pas cher, coach outlet, true religion jeans, nike roshe, nike blazer, michael kors, nike air max, michael kors, converse pas cher, ralph lauren uk, mulberry, vanessa bruno, vans pas cher, coach outlet, air jordan pas cher, nike free, air max, ray ban uk, north face, lacoste pas cher, nike free run uk, nike roshe run, hollister, new balance pas cher, michael kors, hogan, coach purses, tn pas cher, abercrombie and fitch, longchamp pas cher, oakley pas cher, timberland, michael kors, true religion outlet, north face, nike air max, ralph lauren pas cher, louis vuitton

At 11:57 PM, Blogger ninest123 Ninest said...

birkin bag, soccer shoes, celine handbags, louboutin, vans shoes, mac cosmetics, nike air max, baseball bats, lululemon, wedding dresses, gucci, nike roshe, iphone 6 cases, hollister, mcm handbags, hollister, instyler, reebok shoes, bottega veneta, converse, p90x workout, asics running shoes, hollister, mont blanc, ghd, insanity workout, nfl jerseys, chi flat iron, new balance, nike trainers, beats by dre, jimmy choo shoes, north face outlet, longchamp, ralph lauren, herve leger, ray ban, valentino shoes, giuseppe zanotti, ferragamo shoes, nike huarache, vans, abercrombie and fitch, oakley, nike air max, soccer jerseys, timberland boots, babyliss, converse outlet, north face outlet, swarovski

At 11:58 PM, Blogger ninest123 Ninest said...

pandora charms, moncler, sac louis vuitton pas cher, moncler outlet, thomas sabo, pandora charms, louis vuitton, juicy couture outlet, hollister, wedding dresses, juicy couture outlet, moncler, michael kors outlet online, ugg,ugg australia,ugg italia, links of london, marc jacobs, ugg,uggs,uggs canada, pandora jewelry, barbour, canada goose, michael kors handbags, louis vuitton, montre pas cher, canada goose outlet, swarovski crystal, lancel, moncler, bottes ugg, moncler, canada goose outlet, canada goose, moncler, canada goose, canada goose uk, pandora jewelry, moncler, louis vuitton, coach outlet, doudoune canada goose, moncler, toms shoes, replica watches, louis vuitton, barbour jackets, supra shoes, ugg boots uk, michael kors outlet, karen millen, canada goose, doke gabbana outlet, ugg pas cher
ninest123 10.23

At 7:46 PM, Blogger 柯云 said...

air max 95
chanel bags
oakley outlet
soccer shoes
nike air max
ray ban sunglasses
ugg clearance outlet
canada goose outlet store
ugg boots on sale
cheap rolex watches
louis vuitton outlet
coach factory outlet
fitflop clearance
michael kors outlet
michael kors outlet
louis vuitton
louis vuitton
gucci outlet
michael kors outlet online
nike free 5.0
canada goose outlet
ralph lauren
ugg outlet
ugg boots clearance
air max 95
ugg sale
coach outlet store
ugg outlet
jordan concords
oakley sunglasses wholesale
beats by dre
ralph lauren outlet
coach outlet
lebron james basketball shoes
canada goose outlet
michael kors outlet
jordan 11 concord
coach outlet
coach outlet store
michael kors outlet

At 10:55 PM, Blogger dong dong23 said...

christian louboutin outlet
louis vuitton handbags
gucci outlet
louis vuitton outlet stores
christian louboutin outlet
true religion jeans
mont blanc
louis vuitton
jordan 8
coach factory outlet
michael kors outlet clearance
marc jacobs
lebron james shoes 2015
louis vuitton handbags
nike free run
michael kors outlet
cheap jordans
ralph lauren polo
jordans for sale
christian louboutin outlet
louis vuitton handbags
louis vuitton outlet
replica watches
christian louboutin outlet
michael kors outlet
michael kors outlet
nike uk
coach factory outlet
rolex watches outlet
mont blanc pens
nike air max 90
lebron james shoes 13
vans shoes
coach factory outlet
christian louboutin sale
christian louboutin
longchamp handbags

At 3:42 AM, Blogger Unknown said...

burberry outlet
michael kors outlet uk
adidas nmd
tiffany jewelry
lebron james shoes
abercrombie and fitch
fitflops outlet sale
cheap oakley sunglasses
louis vuitton
canada goose outlet

At 10:48 PM, Blogger dong dong23 said...

ralph lauren outlet
ugg outlet
hollister clothing
cheap jordan shoes
ray ban sunglasses
true religion outlet
michael kors outlet
mont blanc pens
nike outlet
toms wedges

At 9:21 PM, Blogger dong dong23 said...

christian louboutin shoes
nfl jerseys wholesale
nike roshe
hermes belt outlet
nike trainers
north face
true religion
cheap jordans
mizuno running shoes

At 11:45 PM, Blogger sehatwanita said...

This information is very useful. thank you for sharing. and I will also share information about health through the website

Cara Mengobati Sinusitis
Penyebab Mual dan BAB Berdarah
Perawatan kesehatan mata
Bahaya Tenggorokan Nyeri
Cara Mengatasi asam Lambung
Cara Mengobati Usus Buntu

At 9:59 PM, Blogger yesi nurazizah said...

His article is very helpful at all thanks

Obat Penyakit Asam Urat
Obat Mata Juling
Obat Kanker Rahim
Obat Gatal Berair di Ketiak
Cara Mengobati Sakit Pinggang
Cara Mengobati Benjolan Di Vagina
Pengobatan Alami Penyakit vertigo

At 10:51 PM, Blogger Raka Pratama said...

given article is very helpful and very useful for my admin, and pardon me permission to share articles here hopefully helped :

Khasiat buah alpukat untuk menurunkan berat badan
Cara mengatasi keputihan berbau
Obat luka operasi caesar

At 7:16 PM, Blogger Ayu Martina said...

Thank you very useful information admin, and pardon me permission to share articles here may help :

Obat radang usus
Obat limpa bengkak
Obat infeksi rahim
Obat fistula ani tanpa operasi
Obat paru paru terendam air
Obat kebas pada tangan

At 11:29 PM, Blogger yesi nurazizah said...

This article will hopefully help and benefit us all

Cara Mengobati Penyakit Gagal Ginjal
Obat Penyakit Insomnia Paling Ampuh Tanpa Efek Samping
Cara Alami Untuk Mengobati Batuk Kronis
Cara Mengobati Penyakit Usus Buntu
Cara Mengobati Mata Merah Berlendir
Obat Untuk Penyakit TBC
Cara Pemesanan QnC Jelly Gamat

At 12:50 AM, Blogger chenlili said...

adidas originals
nhl jerseys
cheap jerseys
mikimoto jewelry
running shoes
michael kors outlet
x-large clothing

At 3:06 AM, Blogger yesi nurazizah said...

thanks, his article is very helpful

5 Obat Herbal Pelancar Penyumbatan Pembuluh Darah Di Otak
Obat Untuk Penyakit Candidiasis
Obat Herbal Fibroid Rahim

At 3:57 AM, Blogger yesi nurazizah said...

Thank you for joining us. his article is very helpful

4 Tanaman Herbal Untuk Hernia
Cara Mengobati Penyakit Lupus
Pengobatan Untuk Rorombeheun
Khasiat dan Manfaat Obat Herbal Sarang Semut
Penyubur Kandungan Paling Ampuh
Obat Batuk Rejan

At 2:27 AM, Blogger yesi nurazizah said...

Very Nice Blog Updation Keep Updating !!

Pengobatan Kelenjar Tiroid
Cara Mengobati Penyakit Ambeien
Pengobatan Penyakit Sinusitis
Pengobatan Varises dengan Bahan Alami
Obat Radang Dinding Rahim
Obat Penyakit Miom dan Kista
Cara Mengobati Penyakit Kencing Nanah


Post a Comment

<< Home