Freepers for Rudy, Continued
Why there is no doubt in my mind that McCain will not be the nominee:
|Sit it out||13.3%||882|
|Sit it out||4.4%||100|
These are the results of polls taken on Free Republic, a destination that makes even conservatives in the blogosphere blanch. And while a significant chunk say they'd go third party with Rudy (they're Tancredoites, analogous to the Feingold backers on Daily Kos), just look at those McCain numbers. More Freepers would go third party than vote for McCain. Fully a third of Freepers would be willing to back Rudy but not McCain in a general election.
Wow. Just wow.
A huge part of the BDBM C.W. on '08 is that McCain is likely to beat Rudy because of the abortion issue. Polls like this fly in the face of this -- and this is important. Why? Because it totally blows away the underpinnings of more than half of what's written about WH'08 by the mainstream media. If the pro-life, anti-illegal immigrant core of the party is given a clear choice between Rudy and McCain, they'll pick Rudy by a mile.
If McCain is forced down the party's throat, the right wing will shear off. To a large degree, Rudy keeps them there -- while getting you all the independents McCain would have gotten you.
Rank-and-file Republicans understand this. The media doesn't.